AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Jul 26, 2025

Barranquilla

Home
VS
22:00

Patriotas Boyacá

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Barranquilla Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Patriotas Boyacá Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.03 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barranquilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Patriotas Boyacá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Barranquilla Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 19 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 2-0
Jul 13 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 1-2
Jun 15 Barranqui… vs Alianza P… 0-1
Jun 07 Barranqui… vs Envigado 2-1
Jun 04 Barranqui… vs Orsomarso 2-0
May 31 Barranqui… vs Rionegro … 1-0
May 18 Barranqui… vs Tigres FC 1-1
May 10 Barranqui… vs Popayan 0-0
May 07 Barranqui… vs Real Cart… 3-0
Apr 27 Barranqui… vs Huila 0-0
Patriotas Boyacá Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 21 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 2-1
Jul 13 Patriotas… vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Jun 22 Patriotas… vs Jaguares 3-0
Jun 19 Patriotas… vs Jaguares 0-0
Jun 13 Patriotas… vs Cúcuta De… 3-2
Jun 09 Patriotas… vs Huila 1-2
Jun 04 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 0-1
Jun 01 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 0-1
May 28 Patriotas… vs Huila 1-1
May 24 Patriotas… vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barranquilla struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2025 Patriotas Boyacá 1 - 0 Barranquilla Primera B
Sep 04, 2023 Patriotas Boyacá 2 - 0 Barranquilla Primera B
Mar 20, 2023 Barranquilla 1 - 2 Patriotas Boyacá Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Barranquilla to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barranquilla Power 0
Patriotas Boyacá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Barranquilla Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Patriotas Boyacá Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.