AI Match Insights
Premiership Aug 29, 2025
Larne
HomeVS
18:45
Ballymena United
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Larne Win
Draw
Ballymena United Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.84 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ballymena United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (10%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
Larne Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22 | Larne vs Portadown | 4-0 |
| Aug 19 | Larne vs Cliftonvi… | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | Larne vs Santa Cla… | 0-0 |
| Aug 10 | Larne vs Coleraine… | 1-0 |
| Aug 07 | Larne vs Santa Cla… | 0-3 |
| Jul 31 | Larne vs Prishtina | 1-1 |
| Jul 24 | Larne vs Prishtina | 0-0 |
| Apr 26 | Larne vs Glentoran | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Larne vs Linfield | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Larne vs Coleraine… | 1-2 |
Ballymena United Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23 | Ballymena… vs Bangor | 4-0 |
| Aug 19 | Ballymena… vs Portadown | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | Ballymena… vs Glentoran | 0-2 |
| Jul 22 | Ballymena… vs Ballyclar… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Ballymena… vs Portadown | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Ballymena… vs Glentoran | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Ballymena… vs Carrick R… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Ballymena… vs Cliftonvi… | 5-0 |
| Mar 15 | Ballymena… vs Cliftonvi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Ballymena… vs Larne | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Ballymena United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | Ballymena United | 1 - 2 | Larne | Premiership |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Larne | 2 - 1 | Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Larne | 0 - 1 | Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ballymena United | 0 - 1 | Larne | Premiership |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Ballymena United | 0 - 0 | Larne | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Larne | 3 - 0 | Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Larne | 0 - 2 | Ballymena United | Irish Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Larne to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Larne Power
0
Ballymena United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Larne Position+9
Position Gap10
Ballymena United Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.