AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Sep 15, 2025

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Home
VS
17:30

Beitar Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Beitar Jerusalem Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.49 - 1.08
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi B… 2-2
Aug 23 Hapoel Te… vs Ironi Kir… 2-1
Aug 16 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Be… 0-2
Aug 09 Hapoel Te… vs Ashdod 2-0
Aug 05 Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi H… 3-0
Jul 22 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Pe… 1-2
Apr 22 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Be… 1-5
Apr 11 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Pe… 0-0
Jan 16 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-2
Jan 06 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Pe… 0-1
Beitar Jerusalem Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi Y… 1-1
Sep 12 Beitar Je… vs Beitar Ya… 4-0
Sep 05 Beitar Je… vs Shimshon … 1-0
Sep 05 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ac… 1-2
Aug 31 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi H… 0-0
Aug 25 Beitar Je… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-2
Aug 18 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 5-0
Aug 14 Beitar Je… vs Riga FC 3-1
Aug 07 Beitar Je… vs Riga FC 3-0
Jul 31 Beitar Je… vs Sutjeska 5-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Beitar Jerusalem in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv 1 - 5 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Jan 22, 2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Oct 02, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 0 - 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Mar 18, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 2 - 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Mar 05, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 1 - 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Nov 09, 2022 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Aug 13, 2022 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Toto Cup Ligat…
Jan 24, 2022 Beitar Jerusalem 0 - 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Tel Aviv Power 0
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Hapoel Tel Aviv Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Beitar Jerusalem Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 89%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.