AI Match Insights

National League Sep 13, 2025

Thitsar Arman

Home
VS
09:30

Yadanarbon

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Thitsar Arman Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Yadanarbon Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.30 - 1.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Thitsar Arman Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Yadanarbon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Thitsar Arman Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Thitsar A… vs Hantharwa… 0-0
Aug 19 Thitsar A… vs Dagon 2-0
Feb 28 Thitsar A… vs Sagaing U… 3-3
Feb 14 Thitsar A… vs Dagon Port 1-2
Feb 09 Thitsar A… vs Rakhine U… 1-3
Jan 20 Thitsar A… vs Ayeyawady… 0-1
Jan 12 Thitsar A… vs Shan Unit… 3-1
Nov 06 Thitsar A… vs Yadanarbon 0-0
Aug 23 Thitsar A… vs Dagon Port 3-3
Aug 19 Thitsar A… vs Sagaing U… 4-1
Yadanarbon Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… 3-2
Aug 17 Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… 1-0
Feb 18 Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… 4-2
Feb 03 Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… 2-0
Jan 18 Yadanarbon vs Rakhine U… 2-4
Jan 12 Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… 1-2
Nov 06 Yadanarbon vs Thitsar A… 0-0
Oct 21 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 2-0
Sep 26 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 1-1
Aug 24 Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Yadanarbon in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2024 Yadanarbon 0 - 0 Thitsar Arman National League
Jul 20, 2024 Thitsar Arman 1 - 2 Yadanarbon National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Thitsar Arman Power 0
Yadanarbon Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Thitsar Arman Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Yadanarbon Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.