AI Match Insights
National League Sep 13, 2025
Thitsar Arman
HomeVS
09:30
Yadanarbon
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Thitsar Arman Win
Draw
Yadanarbon Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 46%
Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.30 - 1.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Thitsar Arman Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Yadanarbon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
Thitsar Arman Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Thitsar A… vs Hantharwa… | 0-0 |
| Aug 19 | Thitsar A… vs Dagon | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Thitsar A… vs Sagaing U… | 3-3 |
| Feb 14 | Thitsar A… vs Dagon Port | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Thitsar A… vs Rakhine U… | 1-3 |
| Jan 20 | Thitsar A… vs Ayeyawady… | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Thitsar A… vs Shan Unit… | 3-1 |
| Nov 06 | Thitsar A… vs Yadanarbon | 0-0 |
| Aug 23 | Thitsar A… vs Dagon Port | 3-3 |
| Aug 19 | Thitsar A… vs Sagaing U… | 4-1 |
Yadanarbon Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22 | Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… | 3-2 |
| Aug 17 | Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… | 4-2 |
| Feb 03 | Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Yadanarbon vs Rakhine U… | 2-4 |
| Jan 12 | Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… | 1-2 |
| Nov 06 | Yadanarbon vs Thitsar A… | 0-0 |
| Oct 21 | Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E | 2-0 |
| Sep 26 | Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Yadanarbon in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2024 | Yadanarbon | 0 - 0 | Thitsar Arman | National League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Thitsar Arman | 1 - 2 | Yadanarbon | National League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Thitsar Arman Power
0
Yadanarbon Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Thitsar Arman Position-3
Position Gap7
Yadanarbon Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.