Major League Soccer · Mar 02, 2025 03:30

Los Angeles FC
PWR 59
1 - 0
FT

New York City FC
PWR 49
63% H 21% D 16% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Los Angeles FC to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense55
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack49
Defense50
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Los Angeles FC Form WWDWW
STABLE
New York City … Form LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS29%
Under 2.557%
Los Angeles… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
New York Ci… Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Los Angeles FC
vs
0.40
New York City …
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Los Angeles…
+10
Gap
#11
New York Ci…
WR 53% 136 pts WR 47% 46 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Los Angeles FC7540161914696136
New York City FC3014412424346
Los Angeles FC 18.0%
Feb 05 Los Ang… v Chicago… 0-1
Jan 29 Los Ang… v Portlan… 1-0
Jan 25 Los Ang… v San Jos… 1-1
Dec 07 Los Ang… v New Yor… 2-1
Dec 01 Los Ang… v Seattle… 1-0
Nov 24 Los Ang… v Minneso… 6-2
Nov 24 Los Ang… v Seattle… 1-2
Nov 09 Los Ang… v Vancouv… 1-0
Nov 04 Los Ang… v Vancouv… 3-0
Nov 02 Los Ang… v Colorad… 1-4
New York City … 6.0%
Nov 23 New Yor… v New Yor… 0-2
Nov 09 New Yor… v FC Cinc… 0-0
Nov 02 New Yor… v FC Cinc… 3-1
Oct 28 New Yor… v FC Cinc… 1-0
Oct 20 New Yor… v Montréa… 2-0
Jul 07 New Yor… v Austin 2-1
Feb 17 New Yor… v Austin 3-2
Jan 28 New Yor… v Los Ang… 1-1
Jan 28 New Yor… v Los Ang… 1-1
May 29 New Yor… v Los Ang… 1-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 28, 2023 Los Angeles FC 1-1 New York City…
Jan 28, 2023 New York City… 1-1 Los Angeles FC
May 29, 2021 Los Angeles FC 1-2 New York City…
Key Factors
Los Angeles FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
New York City FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.