AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Jul 13, 2025

St. Louis City SC

Home
VS
23:00

Portland Timbers

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
St. Louis City SC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Portland Timbers Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.94 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Portland Timbers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
St. Louis City SC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 St. Louis… vs Real Salt… 3-2
Jun 29 St. Louis… vs Houston D… 1-0
Jun 26 St. Louis… vs Orlando C… 2-4
Jun 14 St. Louis… vs Los Angel… 3-3
Jun 08 St. Louis… vs Portland … 2-1
May 31 St. Louis… vs San Jose … 2-1
Oct 20 St. Louis… vs Minnesota… 4-1
Aug 25 St. Louis… vs Portland … 4-4
Aug 10 St. Louis… vs Portland … 3-1
Jun 09 St. Louis… vs Portland … 0-0
Portland Timbers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Portland … vs New Engla… 2-1
Jun 28 Portland … vs Toronto FC 3-0
Jun 14 Portland … vs San Jose … 1-1
Jun 08 Portland … vs St. Louis… 2-1
May 29 Portland … vs Colorado … 2-1
Apr 20 Portland … vs Los Angel… 3-3
Feb 12 Portland … vs San Diego 3-0
Jan 29 Portland … vs Los Angel… 1-0
Oct 24 Portland … vs Vancouver… 5-0
Oct 20 Portland … vs Seattle S… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portland Timbers in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • St. Louis City SC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 08, 2025 Portland Timbers 2 - 1 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Aug 25, 2024 Portland Timbers 4 - 4 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Aug 10, 2024 St. Louis City SC 3 - 1 Portland Timbers Leagues Cup
Jun 09, 2024 St. Louis City SC 0 - 0 Portland Timbers Major League S…
Apr 30, 2023 St. Louis City SC 1 - 2 Portland Timbers Major League S…
Mar 12, 2023 Portland Timbers 1 - 2 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Louis City SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Portland Timbers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.