Major League Soccer · Jul 20, 2025 00:30
Sporting San Jose
PWR 28
New York City FC
PWR 49
Sporting San Jose
PWR 28
1 - 1
FT
New York City FC
PWR 49
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: New York City FC to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPHOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense23
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.2
Attack49
Defense50
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Sporting San J… Form
LWDWL
STABLE
New York City … Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS30%
Under 2.574%
Sporting Sa… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
New York Ci… Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sporting San J…vs
0.54
New York City …Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#28
Sporting Sa…-17
Gap#11
New York Ci…
WR 19% 15 pts
WR 47% 46 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jo… | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 46 | 15 |
| New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 43 | 46 |
Sporting San J…
10.0%
| Jul 13 | Sportin… v Seattle… | 2-3 |
| Jul 05 | Sportin… v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Sportin… v Real Sa… | 1-1 |
| Jun 26 | Sportin… v Charlot… | 2-1 |
| Jun 15 | Sportin… v FC Dall… | 2-4 |
| Jun 09 | Sportin… v Los Ang… | 3-1 |
| Jun 01 | Sportin… v Houston… | 1-3 |
| May 08 | Sportin… v CS Cart… | 1-2 |
| May 03 | Sportin… v Inter S… | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Sportin… v Perez Z… | 0-0 |
New York City …
12.0%
| Jul 17 | New Yor… v Orlando… | 1-2 |
| Jul 13 | New Yor… v Charlot… | 2-0 |
| Jul 03 | New Yor… v Toronto… | 3-1 |
| Jun 28 | New Yor… v Montréa… | 1-0 |
| Jun 12 | New Yor… v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| May 31 | New Yor… v Nashvil… | 2-2 |
| May 28 | New Yor… v Houston… | 0-3 |
| Mar 02 | New Yor… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | New Yor… v New Yor… | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | New Yor… v FC Cinc… | 0-0 |
Key Factors
New York City FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.