AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 27, 2025

Stade Tunisien

Home
VS
15:30

ES Metlaoui

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Stade Tunisien Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
ES Metlaoui Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.82
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Tunisien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
ES Metlaoui Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Stade Tunisien Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Stade Tun… vs AS Soliman 0-0
Aug 16 Stade Tun… vs JS Kairou… 1-0
Aug 10 Stade Tun… vs US Monast… 1-1
May 24 Stade Tun… vs US Monast… 0-0
May 23 Stade Tun… vs Progrès S… 1-2
May 16 Stade Tun… vs Redeyef 2-0
May 15 Stade Tun… vs AS Soliman 0-1
May 05 Stade Tun… vs Kasserine 2-3
May 03 Stade Tun… vs US Monast… 0-0
Mar 13 Stade Tun… vs Club Afri… 1-0
ES Metlaoui Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 ES Metlao… vs CS Sfaxien 2-1
Aug 15 ES Metlao… vs AS Soliman 0-1
Aug 09 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 0-0
May 11 ES Metlao… vs US Monast… 1-1
Apr 19 ES Metlao… vs CS Sfaxien 1-1
Apr 06 ES Metlao… vs ES Zarzis 0-2
Feb 18 ES Metlao… vs Club Athl… 2-0
Feb 09 ES Metlao… vs ES Zarzis 1-0
Feb 01 ES Metlao… vs Stade Tun… 0-0
Jan 18 ES Metlao… vs AS Soliman 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 ES Metlaoui 0 - 0 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Sep 26, 2024 Stade Tunisien 1 - 0 ES Metlaoui Ligue 1
May 27, 2023 ES Metlaoui 2 - 1 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Apr 26, 2023 Stade Tunisien 1 - 1 ES Metlaoui Ligue 1
Feb 26, 2023 Stade Tunisien 2 - 1 ES Metlaoui Cup
Mar 31, 2021 ES Metlaoui 1 - 0 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Jan 12, 2021 Stade Tunisien 0 - 0 ES Metlaoui Ligue 1
Aug 02, 2020 ES Metlaoui 2 - 1 Stade Tunisien Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stade Tunisien to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Tunisien Power 0
ES Metlaoui Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Stade Tunisien Position

+4

Position Gap

7

ES Metlaoui Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.