AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 28, 2025

Étoile du Sahel

Home
VS
15:30

AS Gabes

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Étoile du Sahel Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
AS Gabes Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile du Sahel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
AS Gabes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (54%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 6%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Étoile du Sahel Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Étoile du… vs US Ben Gu… 0-0
Aug 16 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 0-1
Aug 10 Étoile du… vs Jeunesse … 3-1
May 15 Étoile du… vs CS Sfaxien 0-1
May 11 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 0-2
Apr 19 Étoile du… vs Jeunesse … 1-4
Apr 12 Étoile du… vs US Ben Gu… 2-1
Mar 12 Étoile du… vs AS Gabes 0-2
Mar 09 Étoile du… vs ES Zarzis 0-1
Jan 26 Étoile du… vs CS Sfaxien 0-1
AS Gabes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 AS Gabes vs AS Marsa 2-1
Aug 15 AS Gabes vs Olympique… 0-0
Aug 09 AS Gabes vs ES Tunis 0-0
May 05 AS Gabes vs CS Chebba 0-0
Apr 27 AS Gabes vs Sfax Rail… 1-0
Mar 12 AS Gabes vs Étoile du… 0-2
Mar 01 AS Gabes vs ES Tunis 0-2
Feb 22 AS Gabes vs Stade Tun… 1-0
Feb 15 AS Gabes vs Baath Bou… 1-4
Feb 02 AS Gabes vs Olympique… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Étoile du Sahel struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2025 AS Gabes 0 - 2 Étoile du Sahel Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2024 Étoile du Sahel 2 - 0 AS Gabes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Étoile du Sahel to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile du Sahel Power 0
AS Gabes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Étoile du Sahel Position

+7

Position Gap

16

AS Gabes Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.