FAW Championship · Sep 05, 2025 18:30
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
3 - 2
FT
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 47
PWR 47
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ammanford AFC to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense45
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack55
Defense48
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.5
Ammanford AFC Form
DWDWW
STABLE
Caerau (Ely) Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS22%
Under 2.587%
Ammanford A… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Caerau (Ely) Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Ammanford AFCvs
0.55
Caerau (Ely)Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Ammanford A…+9
Gap#17
Caerau (Ely)
WR 33% 82 pts
WR 37% 58 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 63 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 86 | 99 | 82 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 68 | 64 | 58 |
Ammanford AFC
16.0%
| Aug 25 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Ammanfo… v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Ammanfo… v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Aug 08 | Ammanfo… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Jul 26 | Ammanfo… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Jul 19 | Ammanfo… v Cardiff… | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Ammanfo… v Baglan … | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Ammanfo… v Penrhiw… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Ammanfo… v Goytre … | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Ammanfo… v Trefelin | 1-2 |
Caerau (Ely)
18.0%
| Aug 25 | Caerau … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Caerau … v Baglan … | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Caerau … v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-1 |
| Jul 26 | Caerau … v Ynyshir… | 1-4 |
| Jul 18 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 3-4 |
| Apr 12 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 0-2 |
| Apr 05 | Caerau … v Llantwi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 28 | Caerau … v Penrhiw… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) | 2-1 | Ammanford AFC |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Ammanford AFC | 0-2 | Caerau (Ely) |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ammanford AFC | 1-1 | Caerau (Ely) |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) | 1-2 | Ammanford AFC |
Key Factors
Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Caerau (Ely) in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.