AI Match Insights

FAW Championship Feb 07, 2026

Penrhyncoch

Home
VS
14:30

Gresford Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Penrhyncoch Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Gresford Athletic Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Penrhyncoch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Gresford Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Penrhyncoch Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Penrhynco… vs Caersws 1-3
Jan 31 Penrhynco… vs Airbus UK 4-0
Jan 24 Penrhynco… vs Brickfiel… 1-0
Jan 10 Penrhynco… vs Gresford … 3-2
Dec 31 Penrhynco… vs Ruthin To… 1-1
Dec 27 Penrhynco… vs Guilsfield 0-1
Dec 05 Penrhynco… vs Newtown A… 1-1
Nov 29 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 6-0
Nov 22 Penrhynco… vs Caernarfo… 4-0
Nov 08 Penrhynco… vs Brickfiel… 4-1
Gresford Athletic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Gresford … vs Holywell 3-2
Jan 23 Gresford … vs Airbus UK 2-1
Jan 10 Gresford … vs Penrhynco… 3-2
Jan 01 Gresford … vs Denbigh T… 2-3
Dec 27 Gresford … vs Brickfiel… 1-1
Dec 13 Gresford … vs Bala Town 4-0
Dec 10 Gresford … vs Buckley T… 6-4
Nov 29 Gresford … vs Rhyl 2-2
Nov 22 Gresford … vs Penrhiwce… 0-3
Nov 15 Gresford … vs Holyhead … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gresford Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Penrhyncoch struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 10, 2026 Gresford Athletic 3 - 2 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Oct 26, 2024 Gresford Athletic 1 - 1 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Aug 17, 2024 Penrhyncoch 2 - 4 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Apr 15, 2023 Gresford Athletic 3 - 2 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Jul 30, 2022 Penrhyncoch 1 - 0 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Apr 09, 2022 Gresford Athletic 4 - 2 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Nov 06, 2021 Penrhyncoch 2 - 1 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Penrhyncoch Power 0
Gresford Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Penrhyncoch Position

-2

Position Gap

13

Gresford Athletic Position

Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.