AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Oct 11, 2025

Llantwit Major

Home
VS
13:30

Pontypridd Town

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Llantwit Major Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Pontypridd Town Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Llantwit Major Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Pontypridd Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Llantwit Major Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 1-1
Sep 27 Llantwit … vs Cardiff D… 0-2
Sep 20 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 2-0
Sep 12 Llantwit … vs Caerau (E… 0-0
Sep 06 Llantwit … vs Trethomas… 2-1
Aug 25 Llantwit … vs Trefelin 3-3
Aug 22 Llantwit … vs Cambrian … 2-1
Aug 16 Llantwit … vs Caernarfo… 0-0
Aug 08 Llantwit … vs Ammanford… 2-1
Jul 26 Llantwit … vs Aberystwy… 1-2
Pontypridd Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Pontyprid… vs Treowen S… 5-2
Sep 26 Pontyprid… vs Ammanford… 1-1
Sep 12 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 1-3
Sep 05 Pontyprid… vs Caernarfo… 3-1
Aug 25 Pontyprid… vs Caerau (E… 2-0
Aug 22 Pontyprid… vs Cardiff D… 1-2
Aug 16 Pontyprid… vs Aberystwy… 0-0
Aug 08 Pontyprid… vs Ynyshir A… 2-3
Aug 02 Pontyprid… vs Cardiff M… 4-0
Jul 27 Pontyprid… vs Baglan Dr… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Llantwit Major Power 0
Pontypridd Town Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.