AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 13, 2025

Junior

Home
VS
23:30

Once Caldas

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Junior Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Once Caldas Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.41 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Once Caldas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Junior Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Junior vs America d… 1-0
Dec 05 Junior vs Deportes … 3-2
Dec 01 Junior vs Once Cald… 1-2
Nov 28 Junior vs Once Cald… 2-2
Nov 25 Junior vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 22 Junior vs America d… 1-0
Nov 15 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-0
Nov 12 Junior vs Once Cald… 0-0
Nov 07 Junior vs Millonari… 0-0
Oct 20 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-1
Once Caldas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Once Cald… vs Deportes … 1-0
Dec 04 Once Cald… vs America d… 3-0
Dec 01 Once Cald… vs Junior 1-2
Nov 28 Once Cald… vs Junior 2-2
Nov 24 Once Cald… vs America d… 1-1
Nov 21 Once Cald… vs Deportes … 0-0
Nov 15 Once Cald… vs America d… 3-0
Nov 12 Once Cald… vs Junior 0-0
Nov 09 Once Cald… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Oct 14 Once Cald… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Junior struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2024 Junior 1 - 2 Once Caldas Primera A
Nov 28, 2024 Once Caldas 2 - 2 Junior Primera A
Nov 12, 2024 Once Caldas 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Once Caldas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

-2

Position Gap

10

Once Caldas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.