Primera A · Mar 02, 2025 20:00

Once Caldas
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Once Caldas to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Once Caldas Form LWWDD
STABLE
Alianza Petrol… Form DLLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Once Caldas Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Alianza Pet… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Once Caldas
vs
0.20
Alianza Petrol…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Once Caldas
+6
Gap
#19
Alianza Pet…
WR 0% 6 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Once Caldas 12.0%
Dec 08 Once Ca… v Deporte… 1-0
Dec 04 Once Ca… v America… 3-0
Dec 01 Once Ca… v Junior 1-2
Nov 28 Once Ca… v Junior 2-2
Nov 24 Once Ca… v America… 1-1
Nov 21 Once Ca… v Deporte… 0-0
Nov 15 Once Ca… v America… 3-0
Nov 12 Once Ca… v Junior 0-0
Nov 09 Once Ca… v Santa Fe 2-1
Oct 14 Once Ca… v Deporti… 2-1
Alianza Petrol… 4.0%
Feb 18 Alianza… v Bucaram… 0-0
Feb 08 Alianza… v Deporte… 3-1
Nov 15 Alianza… v Bucaram… 0-4
Nov 10 Alianza… v Jaguares 0-0
Oct 20 Alianza… v Deporte… 2-0
Oct 06 Alianza… v Once Ca… 1-0
Sep 26 Alianza… v Santa Fe 2-0
Sep 20 Alianza… v Atlétic… 2-1
Sep 16 Alianza… v Atlétic… 1-1
Sep 08 Alianza… v Fortale… 1-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Oct 06, 2024 Alianza Petro… 1-0 Once Caldas
Mar 25, 2024 Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Petro…
Sep 26, 2023 Alianza Petro… 2-1 Once Caldas
Apr 18, 2023 Once Caldas 1-2 Alianza Petro…
Oct 24, 2022 Once Caldas 1-1 Alianza Petro…
May 09, 2022 Alianza Petro… 2-0 Once Caldas
Sep 25, 2021 Once Caldas 1-1 Alianza Petro…
Feb 12, 2021 Alianza Petro… 0-0 Once Caldas
Key Factors
Alianza Petrolera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.