AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 01, 2025

Llaneros

Home
VS
23:00

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Llaneros Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Deportivo Pasto Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.35 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Llaneros Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 Llaneros vs Deportes … 1-0
Dec 15 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 11 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 04 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-1
Nov 29 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 4-0
Nov 23 Llaneros vs Quindio 4-2
Nov 19 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 1-0
Nov 14 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 1-0
Nov 09 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 2-0
Nov 04 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 5-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Mar 16 Deportivo… vs Independi… 0-0
Mar 04 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Feb 23 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-1
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Dec 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Llaneros struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Llaneros Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Llaneros Position

-7

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.