AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 26, 2025

Envigado

Home
VS
19:00

Union Magdalena

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Envigado Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Union Magdalena Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.41 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Envigado Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Union Magdalena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Envigado Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Envigado vs Deportes … 3-1
Apr 17 Envigado vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Feb 09 Envigado vs Independi… 0-1
Nov 15 Envigado vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 10 Envigado vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 02 Envigado vs Jaguares 1-0
Sep 29 Envigado vs Millonari… 3-0
Sep 17 Envigado vs Jaguares 0-0
Aug 30 Envigado vs Real Cart… 2-1
May 08 Envigado vs Real Cart… 2-0
Union Magdalena Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Union Mag… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Apr 16 Union Mag… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Dec 15 Union Mag… vs Llaneros 1-0
Dec 11 Union Mag… vs Llaneros 1-0
Dec 04 Union Mag… vs Llaneros 1-1
Nov 29 Union Mag… vs Llaneros 4-0
Nov 23 Union Mag… vs Real Soac… 2-0
Nov 17 Union Mag… vs Cúcuta De… 2-1
Nov 12 Union Mag… vs Huila 2-0
Nov 08 Union Mag… vs Huila 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Envigado struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Envigado to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Envigado Power 0
Union Magdalena Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.