AI Match Insights

Primera A Jun 13, 2025

Santa Fe

Home
VS
01:20

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Atlético Nacional Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (26%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Santa Fe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 08 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 1-2
Jun 05 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 1-2
Jun 01 Santa Fe vs Millonari… 0-1
May 25 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 6-1
May 17 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 0-2
May 11 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-1
May 01 Santa Fe vs Llaneros 0-1
Apr 27 Santa Fe vs Chico 0-0
Apr 15 Santa Fe vs Independi… 1-2
Mar 19 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Atlético Nacional Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 08 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Jun 06 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-0
Jun 02 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 0-0
May 25 Atlético … vs Junior 2-3
May 18 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 2-1
May 11 Atlético … vs Llaneros 2-1
May 04 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-1
Apr 30 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 3-0
Apr 20 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Apr 16 Atlético … vs Chico 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 08, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 2 Santa Fe Primera A
Feb 13, 2025 Santa Fe 2 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 3 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 5 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 05, 2024 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.