AI Match Insights

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Primera A Aug 23, 2025

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
19:00

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
La Equidad FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.44 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Independiente Medellin Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Aug 11 Independi… vs Llaneros 0-1
Aug 07 Independi… vs Jaguares 0-1
Aug 03 Independi… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jul 31 Independi… vs Jaguares 1-1
Jul 27 Independi… vs Union Mag… 0-2
Jul 24 Independi… vs Envigado 3-4
Jul 20 Independi… vs Chico 2-0
Jul 13 Independi… vs Alianza P… 1-1
Jun 29 Independi… vs Santa Fe 1-2
La Equidad FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 La Equida… vs Llaneros 2-1
Aug 12 La Equida… vs Chico 0-0
Aug 01 La Equida… vs Union Mag… 0-1
Jul 27 La Equida… vs Envigado 1-1
Jul 24 La Equida… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jul 19 La Equida… vs Atlético … 3-1
Jul 14 La Equida… vs Rionegro … 0-0
Jun 15 La Equida… vs Fortaleza… 0-2
Jun 12 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jun 08 La Equida… vs Bogota FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 La Equidad FC 0 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Oct 06, 2024 Independiente Medel… 0 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Mar 23, 2024 La Equidad FC 1 - 2 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Jul 15, 2023 Independiente Medel… 2 - 2 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 16, 2023 La Equidad FC 2 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Aug 05, 2022 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.