AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 14, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
23:20

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Llaneros Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.23 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-0
Sep 07 Deportivo… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 06 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Sep 05 Deportivo… vs Chico 2-0
Sep 03 Deportivo… vs Real Soac… 2-1
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 0-0
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-3
Aug 30 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-2
Aug 27 Deportivo… vs Real Soac… 4-3
Llaneros Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Llaneros vs Deportes … 1-0
Aug 29 Llaneros vs Junior 4-0
Aug 23 Llaneros vs Deportivo… 2-1
Aug 16 Llaneros vs La Equida… 2-1
Aug 11 Llaneros vs Independi… 0-1
Aug 02 Llaneros vs Deportivo… 0-3
Jul 29 Llaneros vs Millonari… 0-1
Jul 23 Llaneros vs Chico 2-1
Jul 18 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 0-0
Jul 11 Llaneros vs America d… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Llaneros struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Llaneros 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Aug 02, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 3 Llaneros Primera A
Jun 02, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 3 - 0 Llaneros Copa Colombia
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.