Liga Pro · May 03, 2025 19:00
LDU Quito
PWR 63
El Nacional
PWR 38
LDU Quito
PWR 63
2 - 2
FT
El Nacional
PWR 38
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: LDU Quito to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (17%)
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.0
Attack39
Defense43
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.6
LDU Quito Form
DWLWL
STABLE
El Nacional Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS19%
Under 2.542%
LDU Quito Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
El Nacional Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
LDU Quitovs
0.22
El NacionalDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
LDU Quito+9
Gap#10
El Nacional
WR 57% 127 pts
WR 31% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Quito | 65 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 119 | 63 | 127 |
| El Nacional | 67 | 21 | 16 | 30 | 75 | 109 | 79 |
LDU Quito
10.0%
| Apr 26 | LDU Qui… v Manta | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | LDU Qui… v Aucas | 3-1 |
| Apr 14 | LDU Qui… v Mushuc … | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | LDU Qui… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | LDU Qui… v Emelec | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | LDU Qui… v DelfĂn … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | LDU Qui… v Orense … | 4-0 |
| Feb 23 | LDU Qui… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | LDU Qui… v Cuniburo | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | LDU Qui… v El Naci… | 0-0 |
El Nacional
8.0%
| Apr 26 | El Naci… v DelfĂn … | 3-2 |
| Apr 19 | El Naci… v FC Barc… | 1-0 |
| Apr 14 | El Naci… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
| Apr 05 | El Naci… v Liberta… | 1-3 |
| Mar 30 | El Naci… v Orense … | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | El Naci… v Aucas | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | El Naci… v Manta | 4-3 |
| Mar 02 | El Naci… v Tecnico… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | El Naci… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | El Naci… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 02, 2025 | LDU Quito | 0-0 | El Nacional |
| Oct 02, 2024 | LDU Quito | 0-0 | El Nacional |
Key Factors
El Nacional struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.