Eerste Divisie · Sep 29, 2025 18:00
Jong PSV
PWR 35
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
Jong PSV
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jong PSV Form
LWLWW
STABLE
MVV Maastricht Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS15%
Under 2.569%
Jong PSV Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Jong PSVvs
0.20
MVV MaastrichtDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings84%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Jong PSV+12
Gap#16
MVV Maastri…
WR 58% 40 pts
WR 23% 29 pts
Jong PSV
12.0%
| Sep 26 | Jong PSV v Cambuur | 5-3 |
| Sep 22 | Jong PSV v Den Bos… | 3-0 |
| Sep 15 | Jong PSV v Roda | 0-1 |
| Sep 12 | Jong PSV v Almere … | 2-4 |
| Aug 29 | Jong PSV v Jong AZ | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Jong PSV v Dordrec… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Jong PSV v VVV Ven… | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Jong PSV v Emmen | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Jong PSV v Utrecht | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Jong PSV v Excelsi… | 5-0 |
MVV Maastricht
6.0%
| Sep 26 | MVV Maa… v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | MVV Maa… v VVV Ven… | 1-0 |
| Sep 16 | MVV Maa… v Den Bos… | 2-4 |
| Sep 12 | MVV Maa… v Cambuur | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | MVV Maa… v Jong Aj… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | MVV Maa… v De Graa… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | MVV Maa… v Dordrec… | 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | MVV Maa… v FC OSS | 4-0 |
| May 09 | MVV Maa… v Cambuur | 1-0 |
| May 02 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong PSV | 3-2 | MVV Maastricht |
| Aug 30, 2024 | MVV Maastricht | 3-2 | Jong PSV |
| Feb 19, 2024 | MVV Maastricht | 3-3 | Jong PSV |
| Oct 06, 2023 | Jong PSV | 2-3 | MVV Maastricht |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Jong PSV | 0-1 | MVV Maastricht |
| Oct 14, 2022 | MVV Maastricht | 1-1 | Jong PSV |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Jong PSV | 2-2 | MVV Maastricht |
| Nov 26, 2021 | MVV Maastricht | 1-2 | Jong PSV |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 3-1 | MVV Maastricht |
Key Factors
Jong PSV in strong form (3W in last 5)
MVV Maastricht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.