Back Stats
US Open Cup · Mar 25, 2026 23:00
Steel City
PWR 0
VS

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PWR 23
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Steel City Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5 75%
75%
BTTS No
No 25%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense65
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Steel City LWWDD
STABLE
Pittsburgh Riv… LWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Steel City
vs
0.43
Pittsburgh Riv…
Goal Probability
Steel City
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Pittsburgh …
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 74% 26% OVER
2.5 49% 51% -
3.5 27% 73% UNDER
4.5 13% 87% UNDER
5.5 5% 95% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Steel City 12.0%
Jul 18 Steel C… v Flint C… 4-3
Jul 13 Steel C… v Clevela… 1-3
Jul 06 Steel C… v Toledo … 2-1
Jul 02 Steel C… v Buffalo 0-0
Jun 29 Steel C… v Akron C… 1-1
Pittsburgh Riv… 6.0%
Mar 21 Pittsbu… v Tampa B… 3-0
Mar 14 Pittsbu… v Loudoun… 2-3
Mar 07 Pittsbu… v Charles… 2-1
Feb 21 Pittsbu… v Lexingt… 1-2
Nov 22 Pittsbu… v FC Tulsa 0-0
Nov 09 Pittsbu… v Detroit… 0-0
Nov 01 Pittsbu… v Hartfor… 0-0
Oct 25 Pittsbu… v Phoenix… 0-0
Oct 19 Pittsbu… v Montere… 0-3
Oct 11 Pittsbu… v Indy El… 2-1
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pittsburgh Riverhounds struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.