Copa do Nordeste · Mar 25, 2026 22:00

América-RN
PWR 35

América-RN
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Maranhão AC
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: América-RN to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
76%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.12x
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
América-RN
DDDDW
STABLE
Maranhão AC
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
América-RNvs
0.26
Maranhão ACGoal Probability
América-RN
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Maranhão AC
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (37%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
América-RN+2
Gap#4
Maranhão AC
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
América-RN
12.0%
| Mar 21 | América… v ABC | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | América… v ABC | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | América… v Potigua… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | América… v Volta R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | América… v Potigua… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | América… v GAS | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | América… v Santa C… | 3-0 |
| Feb 04 | América… v Potigua… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | América… v QFC | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | América… v ABC | 0-0 |
Maranhão AC
6.0%
| Mar 12 | Maranhã… v Ceará | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Maranhã… v IAPE | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Maranhã… v São Luiz | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Maranhã… v IAPE | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Maranhã… v Sampaio… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Maranhã… v Sampaio… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Maranhã… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Maranhã… v IAPE | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Maranhã… v Imperat… | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Maranhã… v ITZ Spo… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
53%
Market
55%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Maranhão AC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.