Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 25, 2026 20:00
Cerro
PWR 0
Juventud
PWR 35
Cerro
PWR 0
0 - 0
FT
Juventud
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cerro Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.65x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerro
LLLDD
DOWN
Juventud
LLLWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Odds data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Cerrovs
1.09
JuventudGoal Probability
Cerro
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Juventud
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Cerro-1
Gap#15
Juventud
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Cerro
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Cerro v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Cerro v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Cerro v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Cerro v Boston … | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Cerro v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Cerro v Albion … | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | Cerro v Danubio | 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | Cerro v Juventud | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cerro v Juventud | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Cerro v Juventud | 1-1 |
Juventud
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Juventud v Albion … | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Juventud v Danubio | 4-1 |
| Mar 13 | Juventud v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Juventud v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | Juventud v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Juventud v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Juventud v Club Gu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Juventud v Central… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Juventud v Club Gu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Juventud v Atletic… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Juventud | 1-0 | Cerro |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Cerro | 2-1 | Juventud |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Juventud | 1-1 | Cerro |
| May 29, 2022 | Cerro | 0-1 | Juventud |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Juventud | 2-2 | Cerro |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Cerro | 2-1 | Juventud |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Juventud | 3-1 | Cerro |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
48%
Market
37%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cerro struggling (3L in last 5)
Juventud struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.