Iraqi League · Mar 25, 2026 12:30
Newroz
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Gharraf
PWR 35
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Newroz to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.87x
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Newroz
WWLWW
STABLE
Gharraf
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Newrozvs
0.45
GharrafGoal Probability
Newroz
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Gharraf
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Newroz+3
Gap#13
Gharraf
WR 42% 31 pts
WR 27% 29 pts
Newroz
16.0%
| Mar 19 | Newroz v Al-Qasi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Newroz v Baghdad | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Newroz v Al Zawr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Newroz v Duhok | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Newroz v Al Najaf | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Newroz v Al Quwa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Newroz v Mosul | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Newroz v Diyala | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Newroz v Al-Karma | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Newroz v Al Karkh | 3-0 |
Gharraf
4.0%
| Mar 17 | Gharraf v Al Zawr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Gharraf v Al-Karma | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Gharraf v Al Quwa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Gharraf v Zakho | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Gharraf v Duhok | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Gharraf v Al Mina… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Gharraf v Al Shor… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Gharraf v Al-Tala… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | Gharraf v Baghdad | 3-2 |
| Jan 22 | Gharraf v Diyala | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Gharraf | 0-1 | Newroz |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
59%
Market
49%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Newroz in strong form (4W in last 5)
Gharraf struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.