Ligue 1 · Mar 25, 2026 16:30
Sonacos
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Guediawaye FC
PWR 35
27% 29% 44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sonacos Win
Score
0-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)0-1 (27%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5 89%
89%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sonacos DLLLD
STABLE
Guediawaye FC WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 89% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (36.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Sonacos
vs
0.85
Guediawaye FC
Goal Probability
Sonacos
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Guediawaye …
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (25%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 73% 27% OVER
1.5 37% 63% -
2.5 14% 86% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#15
Sonacos
-2
Gap
#13
Guediawaye …
WR 11% 17 pts WR 22% 19 pts
Sonacos 4.0%
Mar 15 Sonacos v Teungue… 2-2
Mar 08 Sonacos v Stade d… 0-2
Mar 01 Sonacos v Wally D… 2-1
Feb 21 Sonacos v AJEL 1-0
Feb 16 Sonacos v Ouakam 0-0
Feb 09 Sonacos v HLM 0-0
Feb 02 Sonacos v As Camb… 1-1
Jan 25 Sonacos v Casa Sp… 3-0
Jan 11 Sonacos v Jaraaf 0-0
Jan 07 Sonacos v Pikine 2-0
Guediawaye FC 16.0%
Mar 17 Guediaw… v Générat… 2-1
Mar 08 Guediaw… v La Ling… 1-3
Mar 01 Guediaw… v Gorée 1-1
Feb 22 Guediaw… v DSC 3-0
Feb 14 Guediaw… v Teungue… 0-0
Feb 08 Guediaw… v Stade d… 0-0
Feb 02 Guediaw… v Wally D… 1-0
Jan 25 Guediaw… v AJEL 0-1
Jan 11 Guediaw… v Ouakam 1-1
Jan 07 Guediaw… v HLM 0-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Nov 30, 2025 Guediawaye FC 1-2 Sonacos
Mar 07, 2025 Guediawaye FC 1-0 Sonacos
Oct 27, 2024 Sonacos 0-1 Guediawaye FC
Jun 08, 2024 Sonacos 0-0 Guediawaye FC
Jan 26, 2024 Guediawaye FC 0-0 Sonacos
Apr 01, 2023 Sonacos 0-0 Guediawaye FC
Oct 28, 2022 Guediawaye FC 0-0 Sonacos
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guediawaye FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sonacos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.