Ligue 1 · Mar 25, 2026 16:30
Jaraaf
PWR 35
Stade de Mbour
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Jaraaf
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Stade de Mbour to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (61%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (1%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.75x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.41x
Over 2.5
1%
Under 2.5
99%
99%
BTTS
No
No 5%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade de Mbour
DWDDL
STABLE
Jaraaf
LLDDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 70% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 56% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 126% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Stade de Mbourvs
0.20
JaraafGoal Probability
Stade de Mb…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Jaraaf
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (52%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (6%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (2%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Stade de Mb…-1
Gap#9
Jaraaf
WR 10% 21 pts
WR 22% 22 pts
Stade de Mbour
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Stade d… v Pikine | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Stade d… v Sonacos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Stade d… v Générat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Stade d… v La Ling… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Stade d… v Gorée | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Stade d… v Guediaw… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade d… v Teungue… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Stade d… v DSC | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Stade d… v Wally D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | Stade d… v AJEL | 0-2 |
Jaraaf
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Jaraaf v Wally D… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Jaraaf v AJEL | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Jaraaf v Ouakam | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Jaraaf v HLM | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Jaraaf v As Camb… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Jaraaf v Casa Sp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Jaraaf v DSC | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Jaraaf v Pikine | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Jaraaf v Sonacos | 0-0 |
| Jan 08 | Jaraaf v Générat… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Jaraaf | 0-0 | Stade de Mbour |
| May 13, 2024 | Stade de Mbour | 0-2 | Jaraaf |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Jaraaf | 2-2 | Stade de Mbour |
| Aug 06, 2023 | Jaraaf | 1-1 | Stade de Mbour |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Stade de Mbour | 1-0 | Jaraaf |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Stade de Mbour | 2-1 | Jaraaf |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Jaraaf | 0-0 | Stade de Mbour |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
30%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.