Back Stats
Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 14:30

Barry Town
PWR 0
2 - 1
FT

Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
29% 28% 43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Barry Town Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (5%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.71x
Over 2.5 74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
Yes 75%
Over 3.5 81%
81%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Barry Town
STABLE
Caernarfon Town WLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Odds data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Barry Town
vs
2.62
Caernarfon Town
Goal Probability
Barry Town
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Caernarfon …
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 98% 2% OVER
2.5 92% 8% OVER
3.5 81% 19% OVER
4.5 66% 34% OVER
5.5 49% 51% -
6.5 33% 67% UNDER
League Position
#5
Barry Town
-1
Gap
#4
Caernarfon …
WR 36% 30 pts WR 46% 34 pts
Barry Town 50%
No recent data
Caernarfon Town 12.0%
Mar 14 Caernar… v Cardiff… 2-3
Mar 13 Caernar… v GAP Con… 2-4
Mar 08 Caernar… v Rhyl 0-0
Mar 06 Caernar… v Trethom… 4-5
Mar 01 Caernar… v Newport… 4-4
Feb 27 Caernar… v Colwyn … 3-0
Feb 21 Caernar… v Caerau … 3-4
Feb 20 Caernar… v The New… 2-1
Feb 14 Caernar… v Bala To… 0-2
Feb 13 Caernar… v Trefelin 0-2
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
30%
Standings
48%
Market
44%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.