Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Alga
PWR 0
Alay
PWR 35
Alga
PWR 0
VS
Alay
PWR 35
23%
29%
48%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alga Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alga
STABLE
Alay
DDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Algavs
1.11
AlayGoal Probability
Alga
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Alay
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Alga+4
Gap#5
Alay
WR 100% 7 pts
WR 50% 5 pts
Alga
50%
No recent data
Alay
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Alay v Ozgon | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Alay v Kara-Ba… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Alay v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alay v OshMU A… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Alay v Talant | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Alay v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alay v Neftchi | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Alay v Muras U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alay v OshMU A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Alay v Neftchi | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alay in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.