Iraqi League · Mar 21, 2026 16:30
Al Zawra'a
PWR 0
Baghdad
PWR 35
Al Zawra'a
PWR 0
3 - 2
FT
Baghdad
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (58% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
WRONG 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
85%
Home/Draw
1.24x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.62x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Zawra'a
STABLE
Baghdad
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Al Zawra'avs
0.74
BaghdadGoal Probability
Al Zawra'a
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Baghdad
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)5-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Al Zawra'a+10
Gap#18
Baghdad
WR 46% 36 pts
WR 22% 19 pts
Al Zawra'a
50%
No recent data
Baghdad
0.0%
| Mar 17 | Baghdad v Al Quwa… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | Baghdad v Newroz | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Baghdad v Naft Ma… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Baghdad v Naft | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Baghdad v Al Kahr… | 5-0 |
| Feb 06 | Baghdad v Al Mina… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Baghdad v Erbil | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Baghdad v Gharraf | 3-2 |
| Jan 22 | Baghdad v Al-Karma | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Baghdad v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
72%
Market
63%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Baghdad struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.