1. Liga · Mar 21, 2026 14:00

JFK Ventspils
PWR 53

JFK Ventspils
PWR 53
0 - 0
FT
Riga Mariners
PWR 75
PWR 75
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Riga Mariners to win (55% confidence)
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.08x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.43x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
54Attack100
61Defense54
Goals/G
1.52.8
Conc/G
1.11.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
JFK Ventspils
LWDDL
STABLE
Riga Mariners
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): 1. Lig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
JFK Ventspilsvs
1.28
Riga MarinersGoal Probability
JFK Ventspi…
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Riga Marine…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
JFK Ventspi…-1
Gap#3
Riga Marine…
WR 42% 43 pts
WR 69% 58 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 43 |
| Riga Mariners | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 74 | 34 | 58 |
JFK Ventspils
8.0%
| Nov 08 | JFK Ven… v Leevon … | 3-2 |
| Nov 01 | JFK Ven… v Mārupe | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | JFK Ven… v Skanste | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | JFK Ven… v Riga FC… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | JFK Ven… v JDFS Al… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | JFK Ven… v Rīgas F… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | JFK Ven… v Smiltene | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | JFK Ven… v Riga Ma… | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | JFK Ven… v Augšdau… | 0-2 |
| Aug 22 | JFK Ven… v Tukums … | 4-1 |
Riga Mariners
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Riga Ma… v Tammeka | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Riga Ma… v JDFS Al… | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Riga Ma… v Rīgas F… | 4-3 |
| Oct 25 | Riga Ma… v Smiltene | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | Riga Ma… v Rēzekne… | 6-0 |
| Oct 04 | Riga Ma… v Augšdau… | 3-3 |
| Sep 26 | Riga Ma… v Tukums … | 0-4 |
| Sep 20 | Riga Ma… v Ogre Un… | 3-0 |
| Sep 13 | Riga Ma… v JFK Ven… | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Riga Ma… v Progres… | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 13, 2025 | JFK Ventspils | 1-2 | Riga Mariners |
| May 03, 2025 | Riga Mariners | 1-2 | JFK Ventspils |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Riga Mariners in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.