Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 12:00
Aktobe
PWR 35
Aktobe
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Yelimay Semey
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Yelimay Semey Win
Score
7-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)3-0 (4%)
CORRECT 1-4
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.54x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.69x
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 77%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aktobe
LWLLL
STABLE
Yelimay Semey
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Aktobevs
1.64
Yelimay SemeyGoal Probability
Aktobe
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Yelimay Sem…
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-4 (5%)2-4 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Aktobe+3
Gap#10
Yelimay Sem…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Aktobe
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Aktobe v Kairat … | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Aktobe v FK Tobo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Aktobe v PFC Soc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Aktobe v Rotor V… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Aktobe v BanĂk O… | 0-3 |
| Oct 26 | Aktobe v Ordabasy | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Aktobe v FC Asta… | 5-3 |
| Sep 27 | Aktobe v Kyzyl-Z… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Aktobe v Ulytau | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Aktobe v Kairat … | 1-0 |
Yelimay Semey
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Yelimay… v Altay | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Yelimay… v Okzhetp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Yelimay… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Yelimay… v Krasnod… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Yelimay… v Žilina | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | Yelimay… v Atyrau | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Yelimay… v Turan T… | 3-6 |
| Sep 28 | Yelimay… v Ordabasy | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Yelimay… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
85%
Market
43%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aktobe struggling (4L in last 5)
Yelimay Semey struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.