Amapaense · Mar 15, 2026 12:00
Santos
PWR 53
Macapá
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 53
5 - 0
FT
Macapá
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Santos Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (6%)
CORRECT 5-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.26x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.68x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
61Attack0
56Defense100
Goals/G
1.70.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santos
DDLDL
STABLE
Macapá
LLLWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 3/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Santosvs
1.53
MacapáGoal Probability
Santos
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Macapá
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Santos+4
Gap#6
Macapá
WR 42% 59 pts
WR 15% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 66 | 48 | 59 |
| Macapá | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24 | 59 | 15 |
Santos
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Santos v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Santos v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Santos v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Santos v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Santos v OratĂłrio | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santos v Ypirang… | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Figueir… | 0-0 |
Macapá
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Macapá v Indepen… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Macapá v Oratório | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Macapá v Ypirang… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Macapá v Capital | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Macapá v São Jos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Macapá v Remo | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Macapá v 7 de Ab… | 2-0 |
| Nov 06 | Macapá v Serra M… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Macapá v SE Belf… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Macapá v Rio de … | 1-6 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 04, 2023 | Santos | 4-1 | Macapá |
| May 13, 2022 | Santos | 2-0 | Macapá |
| Aug 05, 2021 | Santos | 4-0 | Macapá |
| Aug 31, 2020 | Santos | 1-0 | Macapá |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
64%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Macapá struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.