Back Stats
Cearense - 2 · Mar 22, 2026 19:30

Crato
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 39
40% 26% 34%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guaraní de Bagé Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5 70%
70%
BTTS No
No 28%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack39
100Defense52
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Crato DL
STABLE
Guaraní de Bagé DLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Crato
vs
0.46
Guaraní de Bagé
Goal Probability
Crato
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Guaraní de …
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 73% 27% OVER
1.5 37% 63% -
2.5 14% 86% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Crato
-10
Gap
#4
Guaraní de …
WR 0% 1 pts WR 25% 10 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Crato2011131
Guaraní de Ba…824291110
Crato 5.0%
Mar 14 Crato v Barbalha 0-0
Mar 05 Crato v Guaraní… 3-1
Guaraní de Bagé 8.0%
Mar 15 Guaraní… v Cariri 0-0
Mar 11 Guaraní… v Ponte P… 1-0
Mar 07 Guaraní… v Monsoon 2-0
Feb 28 Guaraní… v Avenida 1-1
Feb 25 Guaraní… v Caxias 0-1
Feb 21 Guaraní… v Inter S… 0-1
Feb 16 Guaraní… v Inter S… 3-2
Feb 09 Guaraní… v Avenida 2-1
Feb 06 Guaraní… v Monsoon 0-0
Jan 31 Guaraní… v Novo Ha… 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 05, 2025 Guaraní de Ba… 3-1 Crato
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.