Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 21, 2026 16:00
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
Central Espanol
PWR 35
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Central Espanol
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)0-1 (26%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.16x
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico Torque
DWWWW
STABLE
Central Espanol
LDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Atletico Torquevs
0.73
Central EspanolGoal Probability
Atletico To…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Central Esp…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Atletico To…+2
Gap#6
Central Esp…
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Atletico Torque
18.0%
| Mar 16 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Atletic… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Wandere… | 0-4 |
| Feb 17 | Atletic… v Juventud | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Atletic… v Concepc… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 2-3 |
| Nov 09 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
Central Espanol
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Central… v Cerro L… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Central… v Defenso… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Central… v Wandere… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Central… v Juventud | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Central… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Central… v Progreso | 0-3 |
| Jan 20 | Central… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Central… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Central… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Central… v Fenix | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
48%
Market
56%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atletico Torque in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.