USL Championship · Mar 21, 2026 23:30
Tampa Bay Rowdies
PWR 39
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PWR 49
Tampa Bay Rowdies
PWR 39
3 - 0
FT
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PWR 49
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
45Attack36
43Defense69
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
1.60.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tampa Bay Rowd…
WWWDD
UP
Pittsburgh Riv…
WLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
4.37
Tampa Bay Rowd…vs
0.86
Pittsburgh Riv…Goal Probability
Tampa Bay R…
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Pittsburgh …
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Tampa Bay R…-12
Gap#4
Pittsburgh …
WR 26% 41 pts
WR 38% 69 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Row… | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 50 | 63 | 41 |
| Pittsburgh Ri… | 47 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 49 | 41 | 69 |
Tampa Bay Rowd…
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Tampa B… v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Tampa B… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Tampa B… v Naples | 3-0 |
| Jan 28 | Tampa B… v St. Lou… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Tampa B… v Detroit… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Tampa B… v Hartfor… | 3-2 |
| Oct 11 | Tampa B… v Rhode I… | 5-0 |
| Oct 04 | Tampa B… v Montere… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Tampa B… v Loudoun… | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Tampa B… v North C… | 2-2 |
Pittsburgh Riv…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Pittsbu… v Loudoun… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Pittsbu… v Charles… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pittsbu… v Lexingt… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Pittsbu… v FC Tulsa | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Pittsbu… v Detroit… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Pittsbu… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Pittsbu… v Phoenix… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Pittsbu… v Montere… | 0-3 |
| Oct 11 | Pittsbu… v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Pittsbu… v Miami FC | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Tampa Bay Row… | 2-1 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 2-1 | Tampa Bay Row… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Tampa Bay Rowdies in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.