Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Ararat
PWR 35
Gandzasar
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Ararat
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.4x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.96x
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gandzasar
WDDLL
STABLE
Ararat
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Gandzasarvs
0.57
AraratGoal Probability
Gandzasar
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Ararat
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (20%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Gandzasar+2
Gap#10
Ararat
WR 25% 14 pts
WR 11% 6 pts
Gandzasar
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Gandzas… v Ararat | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Gandzas… v Banants… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Gandzas… v BKMA | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Gandzas… v Shirak | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Gandzas… v Van | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Gandzas… v Alashke… | 1-0 |
| Oct 29 | Gandzas… v Pyunik … | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Gandzas… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Oct 19 | Gandzas… v Ararat-… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Gandzas… v Ararat-… | 1-0 |
Ararat
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Ararat v Gandzas… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Ararat v Van | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Ararat v Banants… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Ararat v Van | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Ararat v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Nov 21 | Ararat v Ararat-… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Ararat v Shirak | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Ararat v Banants… | 0-1 |
| Oct 30 | Ararat v Sardara… | 0-3 |
| Oct 27 | Ararat v Artsakh | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ararat | 0-2 | Gandzasar |
| Aug 01, 2025 | Gandzasar | 1-1 | Ararat |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
57%
Market
51%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ararat struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.