Back Stats
Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 15:00
Toktogul
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Neftchi
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toktogul Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toktogul LLW
DOWN
Neftchi LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Toktogul
vs
0.77
Neftchi
Goal Probability
Toktogul
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Neftchi
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 64% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 97% UNDER
League Position
#10
Toktogul
+6
Gap
#16
Neftchi
WR 50% 3 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Toktogul 6.7%
Mar 18 Toktogul v Muras U… 0-1
Mar 14 Toktogul v Bars 1-2
Mar 06 Toktogul v Ilbirs 3-2
Neftchi 2.0%
Mar 13 Neftchi v Ilbirs 2-1
Mar 08 Neftchi v Alay 0-2
Mar 01 Neftchi v Ozgon 1-2
Nov 09 Neftchi v Alay 4-0
Nov 04 Neftchi v Alay 1-1
Oct 27 Neftchi v Asiagoal 2-1
Oct 12 Neftchi v OshMU A… 1-0
Oct 05 Neftchi v Talant 1-0
Sep 27 Neftchi v Bishkek… 0-1
Sep 21 Neftchi v Ozgon 3-2
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Neftchi struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.