First League · Mar 22, 2026 13:00

Spartak Moscow
PWR 49
2-2
predicted

Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5 57%
57%
Team Comparison
51Attack0
58Defense100
Goals/G
1.50.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Moscow WLDWD
STABLE
Shinnik Yarosl… DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Spartak Moscow
vs
0.62
Shinnik Yarosl…
Goal Probability
Spartak Mos…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Shinnik Yar…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 91% 9% OVER
2.5 76% 24% OVER
3.5 57% 43% -
4.5 37% 63% -
5.5 22% 79% UNDER
6.5 11% 89% UNDER
League Position
#17
Spartak Mos…
-13
Gap
#4
Shinnik Yar…
WR 38% 37 pts WR 32% 77 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Spartak Moscow249105352937
Shinnik Yaros…60192021617377
Spartak Moscow 12.0%
Mar 18 Spartak… v Dinamo … 1-0
Mar 14 Spartak… v Zenit S… 2-0
Mar 14 Spartak… v Chayka 1-1
Mar 09 Spartak… v Akron 4-3
Mar 07 Spartak… v Chelyab… 3-3
Mar 05 Spartak… v Dinamo … 5-2
Mar 02 Spartak… v PFC Soc… 2-3
Feb 28 Spartak… v Rotor V… 1-1
Feb 21 Spartak… v FC Rost… 5-2
Feb 18 Spartak… v FC Porto 3-1
Shinnik Yarosl… 10.0%
Mar 15 Shinnik… v Enisey 1-1
Mar 09 Shinnik… v FC UFA 1-0
Mar 02 Shinnik… v Rodina … 2-1
Jan 25 Shinnik… v Ulytau 1-0
Nov 28 Shinnik… v Chernom… 2-1
Nov 23 Shinnik… v FK Soko… 0-0
Nov 16 Shinnik… v Chayka 4-1
Nov 09 Shinnik… v Rotor V… 3-0
Nov 01 Shinnik… v Chelyab… 1-0
Oct 25 Shinnik… v Spartak… 2-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 25, 2025 Shinnik Yaros… 2-2 Spartak Moscow
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.