South Australia NPL · Mar 21, 2026 04:00
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 56
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 56
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Adelaide United to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.41x
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
0Attack56
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Croydon Kings
DLWWD
STABLE
Adelaide United
WLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Croydon Kingsvs
2.33
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
Croydon Kin…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Adelaide Un…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Croydon Kin…+1
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 52% 38 pts
WR 44% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croydon Kings | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 38 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 35 |
Croydon Kings
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Croydon… v Playfor… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 0-4 |
| Feb 27 | Croydon… v Para Hi… | 3-2 |
| Sep 12 | Croydon… v MetroSt… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Croydon… v West To… | 4-1 |
| Aug 15 | Croydon… v West To… | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Croydon… v White C… | 0-2 |
| Jul 19 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 2-2 |
Adelaide United
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Adelaid… v Western… | 2-4 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 07, 2026 | Croydon Kings | 0-4 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Sep 06, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 0-0 | Croydon Kings |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 1-1 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 2-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Adelaide Unit… | 4-0 | Croydon Kings |
| May 04, 2024 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| May 06, 2023 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-0 | Croydon Kings |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
50%
Market
60%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.