South Australia NPL · Mar 21, 2026 08:30
MetroStars
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 56
MetroStars
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 56
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MetroStars Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.73x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack56
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MetroStars
WLWLW
STABLE
Adelaide United
WLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
MetroStarsvs
1.36
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
MetroStars
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Adelaide Un…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
MetroStars+3
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 65% 42 pts
WR 44% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MetroStars | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 42 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 35 |
MetroStars
12.0%
| Mar 14 | MetroSt… v Stirlin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | MetroSt… v Playfor… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | MetroSt… v Campbel… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | MetroSt… v Heidelb… | 6-1 |
| Nov 16 | MetroSt… v Sydney | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | MetroSt… v Bayswat… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | MetroSt… v APIA Le… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | MetroSt… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | MetroSt… v Bayswat… | 1-0 |
| Oct 11 | MetroSt… v APIA Le… | 0-1 |
Adelaide United
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Adelaid… v Western… | 2-4 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
MetroStars in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.