Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 21, 2026 23:30
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
Libertad Asunción
PWR 63
2-1
predicted
Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Libertad Asunción to win (79% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
79%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
60Attack53
71Defense70
Goals/G
1.71.5
Conc/G
0.80.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Libertad Asunc…
WWWWL
UP
Cerro Porteño
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Libertad Asunc…vs
1.14
Cerro PorteñoGoal Probability
Libertad As…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Cerro Porte…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Libertad As…+2
Gap#3
Cerro Porte…
WR 57% 85 pts
WR 48% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asun… | 44 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 36 | 85 |
| Cerro Porteño | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 36 | 73 |
Libertad Asunc…
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Liberta… v Naciona… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Liberta… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Liberta… v Club Sp… | 0-7 |
| Feb 25 | Liberta… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Liberta… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Liberta… v Club Gu… | 3-3 |
| Feb 02 | Liberta… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
Cerro Porteño
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Cerro P… v Rubio Ñu | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Cerro P… v Club Gu… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Cerro P… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cerro P… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Cerro P… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Libertad Asun… |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Libertad Asun… | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 2-2 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 2-3 | Libertad Asun… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 2-1 | Cerro Porteño |
| May 04, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 1-3 | Cerro Porteño |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad Asun… |
| Nov 06, 2023 | Libertad Asun… | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Libertad Asunción in strong form (4W in last 5)
Cerro Porteño in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.