Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 10:45
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
FC Rostov
PWR 35
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
FC Rostov
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Akhmat Grozny Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.76x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Akhmat Grozny
DDWDW
STABLE
FC Rostov
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.45
Akhmat Groznyvs
0.41
FC RostovGoal Probability
Akhmat Groz…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
FC Rostov
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Akhmat Groz…+2
Gap#11
FC Rostov
WR 60% 27 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
Akhmat Grozny
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Akhmat … v Akron | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Akhmat … v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Akhmat … v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Akhmat … v Bars | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Akhmat … v Vardar … | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Akhmat … v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Akhmat … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Akhmat … v Spartak… | 1-2 |
FC Rostov
2.0%
| Mar 14 | FC Rost… v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | FC Rost… v Baltika | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | FC Rost… v Makhach… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | FC Rost… v Krasnod… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | FC Rost… v Spartak… | 5-2 |
| Dec 06 | FC Rost… v Rubin | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | FC Rost… v Lokomot… | 1-3 |
| Nov 26 | FC Rost… v FK Neft… | 1-3 |
| Nov 23 | FC Rost… v Krylya … | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | FC Rost… v PFC Soc… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 30, 2025 | FC Rostov | 1-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
45%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Rostov struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.