Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Baltika
PWR 35
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
Baltika
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 67% home + 22% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Baltika Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (5%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.16x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Baltika
WDLLW
STABLE
PFC Sochi
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskElevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdPREMIUM with draw risk (23%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Baltikavs
0.65
PFC SochiGoal Probability
Baltika
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
PFC Sochi
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Baltika+12
Gap#16
PFC Sochi
WR 60% 39 pts
WR 10% 9 pts
Baltika
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Baltika v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Baltika v FC Rost… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Baltika v Zenit S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Baltika v Zenit S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Baltika v Krylya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 18 | Baltika v Akhmat … | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Baltika v Kaisar | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Baltika v Fakel V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Baltika v Ordabasy | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Baltika v Chelyab… | 0-2 |
PFC Sochi
8.0%
| Mar 14 | PFC Soc… v Krasnod… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | PFC Soc… v Nizhny … | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | PFC Soc… v Spartak… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Aktobe | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Bars | 3-2 |
| Feb 05 | PFC Soc… v Fakel V… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | PFC Soc… v Struga | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | PFC Soc… v Lokomot… | 2-4 |
| Dec 01 | PFC Soc… v Makhach… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | PFC Soc… v Akron | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 24, 2025 | PFC Sochi | 0-2 | Baltika |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
68%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
PFC Sochi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.