1st Division · Mar 21, 2026 12:00
Middelfart
PWR 35
Hobro
PWR 35
Middelfart
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Hobro
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.85x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Middelfart
LLLWL
DOWN
Hobro
WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Middelfartvs
0.71
HobroGoal Probability
Middelfart
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Hobro
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Middelfart-2
Gap#10
Hobro
WR 10% 12 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
Middelfart
4.0%
| Mar 13 | Middelf… v Lyngby | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Middelf… v Hvidovre | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Middelf… v Aarhus … | 4-1 |
| Feb 13 | Middelf… v Vysočin… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Middelf… v Corvinu… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Middelf… v Esbjerg | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Middelf… v Silkebo… | 8-2 |
| Jan 20 | Middelf… v Næsby | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Middelf… v HB Køge | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Middelf… v B 93 | 2-2 |
Hobro
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Hobro v Aalborg | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Hobro v Kolding… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Hobro v HB Køge | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Hobro v Thisted | 1-5 |
| Feb 20 | Hobro v Aarhus … | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Hobro v Oleksan… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hobro v Skive | 5-0 |
| Jan 30 | Hobro v AC Hors… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Hobro v Naestved | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Hobro v B 93 | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 27, 2025 | Hobro | 0-0 | Middelfart |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Middelfart | 3-2 | Hobro |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Middelfart struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.