Iraqi League · Mar 23, 2026 16:30
Erbil
PWR 35
Erbil
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Diyala
PWR 35
PWR 35
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Erbil to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.9x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Erbil
WWWWL
UP
Diyala
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Erbilvs
0.88
DiyalaGoal Probability
Erbil
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Diyala
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Erbil+8
Gap#11
Diyala
WR 73% 44 pts
WR 36% 28 pts
Erbil
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Erbil v Duhok | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Erbil v Al Mina… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Erbil v Al-Karma | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Erbil v Al-Qasi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Erbil v Zakho | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Erbil v Naft | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Erbil v Baghdad | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Erbil v Al Kahr… | 1-0 |
Diyala
4.0%
| Mar 18 | Diyala v Al Mina… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Diyala v Al Quwa… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Diyala v Al Kahr… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Diyala v Al Shor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Diyala v Al-Karma | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Diyala v Al Karkh | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Diyala v Newroz | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Diyala v Al-Tala… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Diyala v Gharraf | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Diyala v Duhok | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 22, 2025 | Diyala | 1-1 | Erbil |
| May 12, 2025 | Diyala | 1-0 | Erbil |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Erbil | 2-1 | Diyala |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Erbil in strong form (4W in last 5)
Diyala struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.