Paulista - A4 · Mar 25, 2026 18:00
Joseense
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Joseense
LDDDW
STABLE
Grêmio Sãocarl…
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Joseensevs
0.55
Grêmio Sãocarl…Goal Probability
Joseense
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Grêmio Sãoc…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Joseense-1
Gap#6
Grêmio Sãoc…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 17% 19 pts
Joseense
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Joseense v Comerci… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Joseense v EC Leme… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Joseense v Barretos | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Joseense v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Joseense v Colorad… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Joseense v Taquari… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Joseense v AEA | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Joseense v Naciona… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Joseense v São Cae… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Joseense v Jabaqua… | 0-2 |
Grêmio Sãocarl…
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Grêmio … v Penapol… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Grêmio … v Taquari… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Grêmio … v Jabaqua… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Grêmio … v Vocem | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Grêmio … v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Grêmio … v Tanabi | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Grêmio … v Inter d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Grêmio … v Comerci… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Grêmio … v ECUS | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 25, 2025 | Grêmio Sãocar… | 1-1 | Joseense |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Joseense | 0-1 | Grêmio Sãocar… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Grêmio Sãocarlense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.