Primera A · Mar 25, 2026 01:00
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.81x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza FC
LLWDL
DOWN
Deportivo Pasto
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
3.81
Fortaleza FCvs
0.73
Deportivo PastoGoal Probability
Fortaleza FC
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
19%
Deportivo P…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Fortaleza FC-12
Gap#2
Deportivo P…
WR 50% 14 pts
WR 50% 27 pts
Fortaleza FC
6.0%
| Mar 19 | Fortale… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Fortale… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Fortale… v Jaguares | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Feb 16 | Fortale… v Chico | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 4-1 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Cúcuta … | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Fortale… v Llaneros | 1-1 |
Deportivo Pasto
14.0%
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Chico | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v America… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Deporti… v La Equi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Deporti… v Llaneros | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Deporti… v Bucaram… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | Deporti… v Millona… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-1 | Fortaleza FC |
| Jun 03, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| May 04, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 3-2 | Fortaleza FC |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fortaleza FC | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fortaleza FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
47%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Pasto in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortaleza FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.