Liga de Expansión MX · Mar 21, 2026 03:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
CA La Paz
PWR 35
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)2-0 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-2 (3%)
WRONG 4-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.33x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CA La Paz
DWWLD
STABLE
Alebrijes de O…
DWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de Expansión MX
Expected Goals (xG)
3.97
CA La Pazvs
1.20
Alebrijes de O…Goal Probability
CA La Paz
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Alebrijes d…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)4-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
CA La Paz+3
Gap#13
Alebrijes d…
WR 46% 17 pts
WR 27% 13 pts
CA La Paz
12.0%
| Mar 15 | CA La P… v Cancún | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | CA La P… v Tlaxcala | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | CA La P… v Leones … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | CA La P… v Monarcas | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | CA La P… v Dorados | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | CA La P… v Venados… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | CA La P… v Mineros… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | CA La P… v Correca… | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | CA La P… v Tapatío | 2-2 |
| Nov 08 | CA La P… v Atlante… | 0-6 |
Alebrijes de O…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Alebrij… v Aguacat… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Alebrij… v Tapatío | 4-3 |
| Mar 08 | Alebrij… v Irapuato | 6-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alebrij… v Poza Ri… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Alebrij… v Dorados | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v CDM | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Alebrij… v Atlante… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Tlaxcala | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Alebrijes de … | 1-1 | CA La Paz |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Alebrijes de … | 2-2 | CA La Paz |
| Apr 21, 2024 | CA La Paz | 3-2 | Alebrijes de … |
| Mar 23, 2024 | CA La Paz | 2-1 | Alebrijes de … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
60%
Market
59%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.