Primera B · Mar 23, 2026 01:30
Real Cartagena
PWR 35
Union Magdalena
PWR 35
Real Cartagena
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Union Magdalena
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.98x
Over 2.5
77%
77%
Under 2.5
23%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 80%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Real Cartagena
DDWDL
STABLE
Union Magdalena
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera B
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Real Cartagenavs
2.31
Union MagdalenaGoal Probability
Real Cartag…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Union Magda…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Real Cartag…-1
Gap#3
Union Magda…
WR 60% 19 pts
WR 100% 20 pts
Real Cartagena
10.0%
| Mar 16 | Real Ca… v Envigado | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Real Ca… v Interna… | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Real Ca… v Orsomar… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Real Ca… v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Real Ca… v Leones … | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Real Ca… v Depor FC | 4-1 |
| Feb 09 | Real Ca… v Bogota … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real Ca… v Ind. Yu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Real Ca… v Real So… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | Real Ca… v Real Sa… | 0-1 |
Union Magdalena
18.0%
| Mar 16 | Union M… v Patriot… | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Union M… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Union M… v Barranq… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Union M… v Quindio | 1-2 |
| Feb 24 | Union M… v Tigres … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Union M… v Leones … | 1-3 |
| Feb 09 | Union M… v Popayan | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Union M… v Orsomar… | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Union M… v Bogota … | 0-0 |
| Nov 14 | Union M… v Fortale… | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
52%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Magdalena in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.